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Red110
748319.1
11870.2
906729.9
Blue120
907313.0
543714.9
248183.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127976080120140160180110120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points33
23Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +6
14Coral scored#14
51Coral points51
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
81Total teleop75
Reef
7L4#10
3L3#6
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points6
110Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
70.20.1
66.966.9
Auto16.4
Teleop44.4
End9.3
blue by 13.4
83.62.1
69.671.7
Auto19.9
Teleop52.4
End11.3
Second
9067
#18
29.90.1
28.328.2
Auto6.2
Teleop22.5
End1.2
red by 15.0
5437
#24
14.92.1
12.414.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End0.7
Third
7483
#26
19.10.1
16.115.9
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End2.5
red by 6.1
9073
#15
13.02.1
11.914.0
Auto6.2
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsMissed