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Red129
725516.0
110837.6
804454.5
Blue135
500233.6
11870.2
791726.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061356080120160180129135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+18
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave0
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points26
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +14
13Coral scored#20
45Coral points71
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
18Processor points6
8Net points8
26Algae points14
71Total teleop85
Reef
10L4#11
3L3#5
3L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
12Foul points0
129Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.50.5
50.751.2
Auto14.4
Teleop33.8
End6.3
blue by 15.6
118
#4
70.20.3
66.967.2
Auto16.4
Teleop44.4
End9.3
Second
37.60.5
31.331.8
Auto8.4
Teleop24.1
End5.2
red by 4.0
5002
#14
33.60.3
28.729.0
Auto6.1
Teleop23.5
End4.0
Third
7255
#27
16.00.5
15.015.4
Auto2.7
Teleop9.3
End4.0
blue by 10.2
7917
#25
26.10.3
21.521.8
Auto6.6
Teleop14.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned