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Red178
658614.8
248183.6
449960.3
Blue58
96089.5
752527.0
1035821.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17142010015020025017858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+110Teleop
+120Endgame
+120Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
9Leave9
8Coral scored#1
42Coral points3
51Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +71
25Coral scored#7
91Coral points24
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
12Processor points12
8Net points4
20Algae points16
111Total teleop40
Reef
12L4#2
11L3#3
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
37Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +120
0Foul points0
178Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.62.4
74.977.3
Auto19.9
Teleop52.4
End11.3
red by 56.5
7525
#16
27.00.1
23.423.5
Auto9.6
Teleop15.8
End1.6
Second
60.32.4
55.658.0
Auto13.2
Teleop38.6
End8.6
red by 39.2
21.20.1
19.920.0
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.9
Third
6586
#28
14.82.4
12.014.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End0.0
red by 5.3
9608
#30
9.50.1
7.98.0
Auto1.3
Teleop6.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed