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Red103
17947.2
642447.8
907313.0
Blue98
906729.9
32329.7
234120.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1187340608010014016018010398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
Teleop+3
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave9
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points10
47Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +31
8Coral scored#14
28Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
42Total teleop73
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#21
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
103Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.2
46.646.3
Auto12.8
Teleop25.8
End9.3
red by 18.0
9067
#18
29.92.1
26.528.6
Auto6.2
Teleop22.5
End1.2
Second
179
#11
47.20.2
47.046.8
Auto14.7
Teleop27.9
End4.7
red by 17.5
323
#21
29.72.1
25.127.2
Auto5.8
Teleop20.6
End3.3
Third
9073
#15
13.00.2
12.512.2
Auto6.2
Teleop5.3
End1.4
blue by 7.7
2341
#20
20.62.1
20.923.0
Auto3.4
Teleop13.1
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsMissed