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Qual 562025 Arkansas Regional
Red126
942912.7
725516.0
11870.2
Blue133
791726.1
450040.6
1639.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106107708090100120130140126133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+23
Endgame+25
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave9
4Coral scored#8
19Coral points38
19Total auto47
TeleoperatedRed +5
12Coral scored#13
43Coral points46
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
71Total teleop66
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
24Foul points6
126Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
70.20.5
67.2→67.7
Auto16.4
Teleop44.4
End9.3
red by 29.6
4500
#6
40.62.4
37.5→39.9
Auto11.3
Teleop23.6
End5.7
Second
7255
#27
16.00.5
15.4→16.0
Auto2.7
Teleop9.3
End4.0
blue by 23.2
16
#8
39.22.4
34.7→37.1
Auto9.6
Teleop27.1
End2.5
Third
9429
#29
12.70.5
12.1→12.7
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End1.2
blue by 13.5
7917
#25
26.12.4
21.8→24.3
Auto6.6
Teleop14.5
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned