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Red109
804454.5
752527.0
96089.5
Blue107
178135.6
320139.0
1035821.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931046080120140160109107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+6Teleop
Endgame+4
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +8
15Coral scored#16
55Coral points59
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#4
0Processor points0
12Net points16
12Algae points16
67Total teleop75
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
6Foul points0
109Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.51.5
51.252.7
Auto14.4
Teleop33.8
End6.3
red by 15.5
3201
#12
39.01.2
37.738.8
Auto5.7
Teleop22.7
End10.6
Second
7525
#16
27.01.5
23.525.0
Auto9.6
Teleop15.8
End1.6
blue by 8.5
1781
#22
35.61.2
33.634.8
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End2.3
Third
9608
#30
9.51.5
8.09.5
Auto1.3
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 11.6
21.21.2
20.021.2
Auto5.7
Teleop12.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned