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Red117
393750.9
907313.0
239930.4
Blue87
658614.8
17947.2
748319.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions988520406012014016011787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+14Teleop
+24Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
0Leave9
6Coral scored#2
29Coral points11
29Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +5
12Coral scored#13
44Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
66Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#5
5L3#3
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
6Foul points0
117Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.90.7
49.149.8
Auto10.4
Teleop34.0
End6.5
red by 3.7
179
#11
47.20.2
46.846.6
Auto14.7
Teleop27.9
End4.7
Second
2399
#23
30.40.7
28.829.5
Auto4.6
Teleop21.4
End4.4
red by 11.3
7483
#26
19.10.2
16.716.6
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End2.5
Third
9073
#15
13.00.7
12.213.0
Auto6.2
Teleop5.3
End1.4
blue by 1.9
6586
#28
14.80.2
14.414.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed