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Red129
618622.8
203639.0
32329.7
Blue153
449960.3
642447.8
906729.9
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8515650100200129153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+16
Endgame+24
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points24
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +12
20Coral scored#15
72Coral points54
1Processor algae#4
3Net algae#6
6Processor points24
12Net points24
18Algae points48
90Total teleop102
Reef
11L4#5
6L3#7
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points0
129Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2036
#10
39.02.3
35.938.2
Auto9.4
Teleop23.7
End5.9
blue by 21.3
60.30.5
58.058.5
Auto13.2
Teleop38.6
End8.6
Second
323
#21
29.72.3
27.229.5
Auto5.8
Teleop20.6
End3.3
blue by 18.1
47.80.5
46.346.8
Auto12.8
Teleop25.8
End9.3
Third
6186
#17
22.82.3
20.522.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.7
End3.3
blue by 7.1
9067
#18
29.90.5
28.629.1
Auto6.2
Teleop22.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned