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Red22
234120.6
543714.9
1010115.2
Blue189
500233.6
110837.6
248183.6
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48160010020022189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+145
Endgame+167
Fouls+167
AutonomousBlue +38
6Leave0
1Coral scored#9
3Coral points47
9Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +107
3Coral scored#22
9Coral points80
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#6
0Processor points12
0Net points24
0Algae points36
9Total teleop116
Reef
1L4#12
1L3#8
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#6
4Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +167
0Foul points0
22Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2341
#20
20.62.5
23.020.4
Auto3.4
Teleop13.1
End4.1
blue by 62.9
83.63.8
77.381.1
Auto19.9
Teleop52.4
End11.3
Second
15.22.5
16.914.3
Auto2.0
Teleop10.3
End2.9
blue by 22.4
37.63.8
31.835.6
Auto8.4
Teleop24.1
End5.2
Third
5437
#24
14.92.5
16.313.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End0.7
blue by 18.7
5002
#14
33.63.8
29.032.8
Auto6.1
Teleop23.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned