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Red107
500233.6
239930.4
1010115.2
Blue117
17947.2
450040.6
658614.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831184060100140160180107117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+18
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +18
9Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
12Total auto30
Teleoperatedlevel
14Coral scored#13
51Coral points47
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
75Total teleop75
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#5
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#24
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +10
6Foul points6
107Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5002
#14
33.60.5
33.133.6
Auto6.1
Teleop23.5
End4.0
blue by 13.6
179
#11
47.20.2
47.347.4
Auto14.7
Teleop27.9
End4.7
Second
2399
#23
30.40.5
29.830.4
Auto4.6
Teleop21.4
End4.4
blue by 10.2
40.60.2
40.640.8
Auto11.3
Teleop23.6
End5.7
Third
15.20.5
14.715.2
Auto2.0
Teleop10.3
End2.9
red by 0.4
6586
#28
14.80.2
14.915.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End0.0