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Red195
248183.6
11870.2
748319.1
Blue123
1639.2
752527.0
110837.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1899850150200250195123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+64Teleop
+66Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
8Coral scored#4
38Coral points20
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +43
21Coral scored#18
77Coral points64
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#4
24Processor points6
28Net points16
52Algae points22
129Total teleop86
Reef
7L4#5
9L3#8
7L2#6
6L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +72
6Foul points0
195Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.60.5
81.582.0
Auto19.9
Teleop52.4
End11.3
red by 44.4
16
#8
39.20.5
37.838.4
Auto9.6
Teleop27.1
End2.5
Second
118
#4
70.20.5
68.168.6
Auto16.4
Teleop44.4
End9.3
red by 32.6
37.60.5
36.336.8
Auto8.4
Teleop24.1
End5.2
Third
7483
#26
19.10.5
17.017.5
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End2.5
blue by 8.0
7525
#16
27.00.5
25.726.2
Auto9.6
Teleop15.8
End1.6