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Red145
1639.2
752527.0
110837.6
Blue123
203639.0
906729.9
178135.6
44%Model gave it56%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108113406080100120140160180200145123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+18Teleop
+10Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
8Coral scored#3
41Coral points17
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +3
12Coral scored#17
43Coral points60
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
24Processor points6
16Net points20
40Algae points26
83Total teleop86
Reef
6L4#7
7L3#6
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +22
12Foul points0
145Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#8
39.20.7
38.439.1
Auto9.6
Teleop27.1
End2.5
red by 0.2
2036
#10
39.00.4
38.639.0
Auto9.4
Teleop23.7
End5.9
Second
37.60.7
36.837.5
Auto8.4
Teleop24.1
End5.2
red by 2.0
1781
#22
35.60.4
35.135.6
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End2.3
Third
7525
#16
27.00.7
26.226.9
Auto9.6
Teleop15.8
End1.6
blue by 2.8
9067
#18
29.90.4
29.429.9
Auto6.2
Teleop22.5
End1.2