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Red64
32341.7
545433.4
504523.2
Blue122
235739.5
642470.7
393764.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1152115010015025030064122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+48
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +18
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points27
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +30
8Coral scored#16
29Coral points59
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
12Processor points12
4Net points4
16Algae points16
45Total teleop75
Reef
3L4#10
4L3#6
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
6Foul points6
64Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
323
#7
41.74.0
51.947.8
Auto7.1
Teleop30.3
End4.3
blue by 29.0
70.74.8
69.164.3
Auto16.3
Teleop43.2
End11.2
Second
33.44.0
44.340.3
Auto5.8
Teleop28.1
End-0.5
blue by 31.4
64.94.8
74.769.9
Auto13.7
Teleop42.9
End8.3
Third
23.24.0
19.915.8
Auto5.5
Teleop16.7
End1.0
blue by 16.3
39.54.8
40.635.9
Auto9.1
Teleop29.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsMissed96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
30%Coral oddsMissed67%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned