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Red131
1648.7
906723.7
1066134.3
Blue109
997113.8
500236.6
997011.2
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150490100200131109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+24Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points4
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +21
20Coral scored#17
71Coral points60
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#3
12Processor points18
28Net points12
40Algae points30
111Total teleop90
Reef
7L4#6
6L3#4
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
131Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#6
48.71.9
62.961.0
Auto8.6
Teleop34.0
End6.1
red by 12.1
36.60.5
36.737.2
Auto9.0
Teleop23.0
End4.6
Second
34.31.9
28.826.9
Auto5.3
Teleop25.0
End4.0
red by 20.5
9971
#10
13.80.8
14.715.5
Auto2.4
Teleop10.9
End0.6
Third
9067
#12
23.71.9
31.829.9
Auto5.5
Teleop15.7
End2.5
red by 12.5
9970
#13
11.20.8
14.715.5
Auto2.2
Teleop9.4
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed