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Red152
393764.9
504523.2
32341.7
Blue69
997113.8
99727.2
1648.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1626405010020025015269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+61Teleop
+83Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
0Leave6
6Coral scored#0
29Coral points0
29Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +38
16Coral scored#10
57Coral points35
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
12Processor points12
28Net points12
40Algae points24
97Total teleop59
Reef
8L4#3
6L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#15
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points0
152Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.91.1
65.566.6
Auto13.7
Teleop42.9
End8.3
red by 16.2
16
#6
48.70.9
54.153.2
Auto8.6
Teleop34.0
End6.1
Second
323
#7
41.71.1
44.745.7
Auto7.1
Teleop30.3
End4.3
red by 27.9
9971
#10
13.81.6
12.410.8
Auto2.4
Teleop10.9
End0.6
Third
23.21.1
18.019.1
Auto5.5
Teleop16.7
End1.0
red by 16.1
9972
#14
7.21.6
7.76.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.4
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
62%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsMissed