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Red60
748314.8
997011.2
906723.7
Blue131
32341.7
500236.6
235739.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40140010020060131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+71
Endgame+71
Fouls+71
AutonomousBlue +20
3Leave0
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points30
10Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +51
7Coral scored#16
26Coral points57
1Processor algae#3
1Net algae#3
6Processor points18
4Net points12
10Algae points30
36Total teleop87
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#9
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
10Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +71
0Foul points0
60Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9067
#12
23.70.4
28.929.3
Auto5.5
Teleop15.7
End2.5
blue by 18.0
323
#7
41.71.0
43.744.7
Auto7.1
Teleop30.3
End4.3
Second
7483
#11
14.80.4
17.718.1
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.3
blue by 24.8
39.51.0
37.438.3
Auto9.1
Teleop29.1
End1.3
Third
9970
#13
11.20.7
7.68.2
Auto2.2
Teleop9.4
End-0.4
blue by 25.4
36.61.0
35.436.4
Auto9.0
Teleop23.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned