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Red143
642470.7
393764.9
997113.8
Blue98
500236.6
748314.8
1066134.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1668705010015020025014398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+47Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points10
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +33
20Coral scored#12
71Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
12Processor points6
16Net points16
28Algae points22
99Total teleop66
Reef
13L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
143Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.70.3
67.667.3
Auto16.3
Teleop43.2
End11.2
red by 34.1
36.61.1
36.437.5
Auto9.0
Teleop23.0
End4.6
Second
64.90.3
66.666.2
Auto13.7
Teleop42.9
End8.3
red by 30.6
34.31.1
23.925.1
Auto5.3
Teleop25.0
End4.0
Third
9971
#10
13.80.6
10.810.2
Auto2.4
Teleop10.9
End0.6
blue by 0.9
7483
#11
14.81.1
18.119.2
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned