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Qual 152025 Ozark Mountain Brawl
Red94
504523.2
393764.9
99727.2
Blue124
997011.2
642470.7
500236.6
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1031345015020094124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+32
Endgame+42
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +19
6Leave9
1Coral scored#4
5Coral points21
11Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +13
13Coral scored#14
47Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
61Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#7
5L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
18Foul points6
94Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#2
64.91.7
66.2→64.5
Auto13.7
Teleop42.9
End8.3
blue by 5.8
6424
#1
70.70.5
67.3→66.7
Auto16.3
Teleop43.2
End11.2
Second
5045
#8
23.21.7
20.2→18.4
Auto5.5
Teleop16.7
End1.0
blue by 13.3
5002
#4
36.60.5
37.5→37.0
Auto9.0
Teleop23.0
End4.6
Third
9972
#14
7.22.9
4.6→1.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.4
End-0.8
blue by 4.0
9970
#13
11.20.9
10.0→9.1
Auto2.2
Teleop9.4
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned