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Red196
545433.4
642470.7
393764.9
Blue75
906723.7
997113.8
748314.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2002405010015025030035019675

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+111Teleop
+121Endgame
+121Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave3
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +90
28Coral scored#13
102Coral points46
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
24Processor points6
24Net points8
48Algae points14
150Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#6
10L3#3
8L2#3
7L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +121
0Foul points0
196Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.70.7
66.767.4
Auto16.3
Teleop43.2
End11.2
red by 47.0
9067
#12
23.70.1
28.528.6
Auto5.5
Teleop15.7
End2.5
Second
64.90.7
64.565.2
Auto13.7
Teleop42.9
End8.3
red by 50.1
7483
#11
14.80.1
17.517.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Third
33.40.7
35.336.0
Auto5.8
Teleop28.1
End-0.5
red by 19.6
9971
#10
13.80.1
10.210.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed