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Red108
545433.4
500236.6
504523.2
Blue78
997011.2
32341.7
1648.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106112020030040010878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+34Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave6
4Coral scored#3
18Coral points13
27Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +26
16Coral scored#9
57Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
6Processor points12
16Net points8
22Algae points20
79Total teleop53
Reef
8L4#5
5L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
108Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.61.1
37.038.1
Auto9.0
Teleop23.0
End4.6
blue by 12.1
16
#6
48.71.9
51.449.6
Auto8.6
Teleop34.0
End6.1
Second
33.41.1
36.037.1
Auto5.8
Teleop28.1
End-0.5
blue by 8.3
323
#7
41.71.9
45.843.9
Auto7.1
Teleop30.3
End4.3
Third
23.21.1
18.419.5
Auto5.5
Teleop16.7
End1.0
red by 12.1
9970
#13
11.22.9
9.16.2
Auto2.2
Teleop9.4
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsMissed