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Qual 192025 Ozark Mountain Brawl
Red54
997113.8
99727.2
32341.7
Blue132
1066134.3
235739.5
997011.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4880020406010012014016054132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+74
Endgame+72
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave9
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +64
8Coral scored#15
27Coral points55
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#8
6Processor points18
8Net points32
14Algae points50
41Total teleop105
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#5
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#28
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
0Foul points6
54Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
323
#7
41.70.5
43.9→43.5
Auto7.1
Teleop30.3
End4.3
red by 2.2
2357
#3
39.53.4
37.7→41.1
Auto9.1
Teleop29.1
End1.3
Second
9971
#10
13.80.7
10.3→9.6
Auto2.4
Teleop10.9
End0.6
blue by 20.5
10661
#5
34.33.4
25.2→28.6
Auto5.3
Teleop25.0
End4.0
Third
9972
#14
7.20.7
1.7→0.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.4
End-0.8
blue by 4.0
9970
#13
11.24.9
6.2→11.1
Auto2.2
Teleop9.4
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed