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Red114
504523.2
997113.8
235739.5
Blue151
748314.8
1648.7
642470.7
1%Model gave it99%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions531740100150200250114151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+21
Endgame+31
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
2Coral scored#6
11Coral points30
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +11
16Coral scored#21
56Coral points77
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
88Total teleop99
Reef
7L4#12
3L3#7
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
25Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points6
114Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.51.8
41.142.9
Auto9.1
Teleop29.1
End1.3
blue by 31.2
70.70.4
67.467.0
Auto16.3
Teleop43.2
End11.2
Second
23.21.8
19.521.3
Auto5.5
Teleop16.7
End1.0
blue by 25.5
16
#6
48.70.4
49.649.2
Auto8.6
Teleop34.0
End6.1
Third
9971
#10
13.82.6
9.612.1
Auto2.4
Teleop10.9
End0.6
blue by 0.9
7483
#11
14.80.4
17.517.1
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned