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Red132
500236.6
235739.5
1648.7
Blue91
997011.2
393764.9
997113.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1617105010020025013291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+37Teleop
+47Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave0
7Coral scored#3
33Coral points16
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +20
18Coral scored#10
63Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
77Total teleop57
Reef
9L4#5
8L3#2
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
6Foul points12
132Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#6
48.70.2
49.249.0
Auto8.6
Teleop34.0
End6.1
blue by 16.2
64.90.6
64.163.6
Auto13.7
Teleop42.9
End8.3
Second
39.50.2
42.942.7
Auto9.1
Teleop29.1
End1.3
red by 25.7
9971
#10
13.80.7
12.111.4
Auto2.4
Teleop10.9
End0.6
Third
36.60.2
37.036.8
Auto9.0
Teleop23.0
End4.6
red by 25.4
9970
#13
11.20.7
11.110.3
Auto2.2
Teleop9.4
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed