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Red71
545433.4
748314.8
32341.7
Blue156
99727.2
1066134.3
642470.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131218010014016071156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+59
Endgame+73
Fouls+85
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave0
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points30
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +38
12Coral scored#21
44Coral points74
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
12Processor points12
4Net points12
16Algae points24
60Total teleop98
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#6
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#6
16Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +85
0Foul points12
71Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
323
#7
41.72.1
43.541.3
Auto7.1
Teleop30.3
End4.3
blue by 29.0
70.72.4
67.069.4
Auto16.3
Teleop43.2
End11.2
Second
33.42.1
39.437.3
Auto5.8
Teleop28.1
End-0.5
blue by 0.9
34.32.4
30.933.3
Auto5.3
Teleop25.0
End4.0
Third
7483
#11
14.82.1
17.115.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.3
red by 7.6
9972
#14
7.23.2
4.27.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.4
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsEarned