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Qual 242025 Ozark Mountain Brawl
Red67
906723.7
235739.5
545433.4
Blue87
1066134.3
504523.2
997113.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1335301001502002506787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+30
Endgame+32
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +37
8Coral scored#17
27Coral points60
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
37Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#7
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
13Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
12Foul points0
67Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2357
#3
39.53.5
42.7→39.2
Auto9.1
Teleop29.1
End1.3
red by 5.2
10661
#5
34.31.4
33.3→34.7
Auto5.3
Teleop25.0
End4.0
Second
5454
#9
33.43.5
37.3→33.8
Auto5.8
Teleop28.1
End-0.5
red by 10.2
5045
#8
23.21.4
21.3→22.7
Auto5.5
Teleop16.7
End1.0
Third
9067
#12
23.73.5
27.5→24.0
Auto5.5
Teleop15.7
End2.5
red by 9.9
9971
#10
13.81.7
11.4→13.1
Auto2.4
Teleop10.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed