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Red80
500236.6
906723.7
99727.2
Blue143
642470.7
997113.8
32341.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9715205020025030080143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+53
Endgame+63
Fouls+63
AutonomousBlue +17
0Leave6
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points24
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +36
13Coral scored#23
45Coral points81
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
63Total teleop99
Reef
6L4#11
4L3#7
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
20Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +63
0Foul points0
80Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.8
37.336.6
Auto9.0
Teleop23.0
End4.6
blue by 34.1
70.70.5
64.364.8
Auto16.3
Teleop43.2
End11.2
Second
9067
#12
23.70.8
29.929.1
Auto5.5
Teleop15.7
End2.5
blue by 18.0
323
#7
41.70.5
44.144.6
Auto7.1
Teleop30.3
End4.3
Third
9972
#14
7.21.3
14.112.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.4
End-0.8
blue by 6.6
9971
#10
13.80.8
15.516.3
Auto2.4
Teleop10.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned