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Red92
235739.5
545433.4
997011.2
Blue108
642470.7
997113.8
1066134.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9013005010015020092108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
0Teleop0
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +17
19Coral scored#15
68Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
86Total teleop69
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#6
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
92Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2357
#3Sur
39.50.4
35.535.9
Auto9.1
Teleop29.1
End1.3
blue by 31.2
70.70.5
64.864.3
Auto16.3
Teleop43.2
End11.2
Second
5454
#9Sur
33.40.4
36.236.6
Auto5.8
Teleop28.1
End-0.5
blue by 0.9
10661
#5Sur
34.30.5
26.525.9
Auto5.3
Teleop25.0
End4.0
Third
9970
#13
11.20.6
8.69.3
Auto2.2
Teleop9.4
End-0.4
blue by 2.6
9971
#10Sur
13.80.9
16.315.4
Auto2.4
Teleop10.9
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsEarned