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Red37
99727.2
748314.8
906723.7
Blue154
1648.7
504523.2
393764.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6517805010015020025037154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+95
Endgame+111
Fouls+117
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave9
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +81
4Coral scored#20
14Coral points71
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#5
6Processor points18
8Net points20
14Algae points38
28Total teleop109
Reef
1L4#9
2L3#5
1L2#6
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +16
0Cage & park16
0Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +117
0Foul points6
37Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9067
#12
23.72.1
29.127.1
Auto5.5
Teleop15.7
End2.5
blue by 41.2
64.90.2
66.266.4
Auto13.7
Teleop42.9
End8.3
Second
7483
#11
14.82.1
20.718.7
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.3
blue by 34.0
16
#6
48.70.2
56.957.1
Auto8.6
Teleop34.0
End6.1
Third
9972
#14
7.23.4
12.89.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.4
End-0.8
blue by 16.1
23.20.2
16.016.2
Auto5.5
Teleop16.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned