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Red120
235739.5
504523.2
32341.7
Blue121
500236.6
748314.8
1648.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11411580100120140120121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+9
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points19
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +6
13Coral scored#19
48Coral points70
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#5
18Processor points6
24Net points20
42Algae points26
90Total teleop96
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#7
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#29
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
120Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
323
#7
41.70.4
41.341.7
Auto7.1
Teleop30.3
End4.3
blue by 7.0
16
#6
48.70.4
49.049.4
Auto8.6
Teleop34.0
End6.1
Second
39.50.4
39.239.6
Auto9.1
Teleop29.1
End1.3
red by 3.0
36.60.4
36.837.3
Auto9.0
Teleop23.0
End4.6
Third
23.20.4
22.723.1
Auto5.5
Teleop16.7
End1.0
red by 8.5
7483
#11
14.80.4
15.015.4
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.3