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Red163
393764.9
642470.7
997113.8
Blue99
500236.6
748314.8
1648.7
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16611105015020025016399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+54Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave3
9Coral scored#4
44Coral points20
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +33
14Coral scored#12
49Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#3
12Processor points6
32Net points12
44Algae points18
93Total teleop60
Reef
12L4#6
4L3#3
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
163Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.70.4
69.569.9
Auto16.3
Teleop43.2
End11.2
red by 22.0
16
#6
48.70.1
49.449.3
Auto8.6
Teleop34.0
End6.1
Second
64.90.4
63.764.1
Auto13.7
Teleop42.9
End8.3
red by 28.3
36.60.1
37.337.2
Auto9.0
Teleop23.0
End4.6
Third
9971
#10
13.80.4
13.113.5
Auto2.4
Teleop10.9
End0.6
blue by 0.9
7483
#11
14.80.1
15.415.4
Auto3.1
Teleop10.2
End1.3