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Red170
998317.1
461367.8
313255.6
Blue109
998510.4
558455.5
743352.3
72%Model gave it28%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15412250100200250170109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
+27Teleop
+47Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousBlue +22
6Leave3
3Coral scored#8
16Coral points41
22Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +49
22Coral scored#13
80Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#2
6Processor points6
24Net points8
30Algae points14
110Total teleop61
Reef
8L4#8
8L3#8
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#24
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +61
14Foul points0
170Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.80.4
67.467.8
Auto9.2
Teleop46.5
End12.0
red by 12.3
55.50.2
55.755.5
Auto16.7
Teleop32.3
End6.5
Second
55.60.4
55.255.6
Auto11.2
Teleop38.7
End5.6
red by 3.3
52.30.2
52.552.3
Auto10.9
Teleop39.0
End2.3
Third
9983
#22
17.10.5
16.517.1
Auto3.6
Teleop12.7
End1.0
red by 6.7
9985
#29
10.40.3
10.710.4
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End0.1