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Red167
998317.1
461367.8
313255.6
Blue140
998510.4
558455.5
743352.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15212150100200250167140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
+9Teleop
+29Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousBlue +15
9Leave3
4Coral scored#8
20Coral points41
29Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +24
26Coral scored#19
94Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
114Total teleop90
Reef
15L4#11
7L3#8
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#32
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points2
167Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.80.7
66.767.4
Auto9.2
Teleop46.5
End12.0
red by 12.3
55.50.5
55.255.7
Auto16.7
Teleop32.3
End6.5
Second
55.60.7
54.655.2
Auto11.2
Teleop38.7
End5.6
red by 3.3
52.30.5
52.152.5
Auto10.9
Teleop39.0
End2.3
Third
9983
#22
17.11.0
15.616.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.7
End1.0
red by 6.7
9985
#29
10.40.7
10.010.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End0.1