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Red133
998317.1
461367.8
313255.6
Blue136
998510.4
558455.5
743352.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15311950100200250133136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+17
Endgame+5
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +22
9Leave0
3Coral scored#9
13Coral points44
22Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +5
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points52
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
24Processor points12
16Net points24
40Algae points36
93Total teleop88
Reef
6L4#7
4L3#8
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
26Game pieces#31
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +3
2Foul points0
133Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.80.2
66.966.7
Auto9.2
Teleop46.5
End12.0
red by 12.3
55.50.4
54.855.2
Auto16.7
Teleop32.3
End6.5
Second
55.60.2
54.854.6
Auto11.2
Teleop38.7
End5.6
red by 3.3
52.30.4
51.752.1
Auto10.9
Teleop39.0
End2.3
Third
9983
#22
17.10.3
15.915.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.7
End1.0
red by 6.7
9985
#29
10.40.5
9.510.0
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End0.1