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Red144
998510.4
558455.5
743352.3
Blue101
914718.4
651049.8
861336.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1241126080100140160180144101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+33Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
7Coral scored#5
33Coral points26
33Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +29
22Coral scored#14
79Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
97Total teleop68
Reef
9L4#7
10L3#6
5L2#3
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#23
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
144Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.5
54.354.8
Auto16.7
Teleop32.3
End6.5
red by 5.6
49.80.1
49.949.8
Auto12.3
Teleop31.7
End5.9
Second
52.30.5
51.151.7
Auto10.9
Teleop39.0
End2.3
red by 15.8
8613
#14
36.50.1
36.636.5
Auto8.3
Teleop22.7
End5.6
Third
9985
#29
10.40.8
8.79.5
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End0.1
blue by 8.1
9147
#31
18.40.1
18.518.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End5.4