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Red115
914718.4
651049.8
861336.5
Blue83
477428.6
1000218.8
472914.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11954010015020011583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+30Teleop
+30Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
6Leave3
5Coral scored#2
25Coral points9
31Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +11
13Coral scored#13
46Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
66Total teleop55
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +32
2Foul points0
115Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.80.2
49.749.9
Auto12.3
Teleop31.7
End5.9
red by 21.3
28.60.5
28.028.6
Auto4.8
Teleop17.3
End6.5
Second
8613
#14
36.50.2
36.436.6
Auto8.3
Teleop22.7
End5.6
red by 17.7
18.80.5
18.318.8
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End2.2
Third
9147
#31
18.40.2
18.318.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End5.4
red by 4.1
4729
#24
14.30.5
13.814.3
Auto2.1
Teleop10.4
End1.7