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Red13
533111.6
643413.2
861336.5
Blue28
1000218.8
998714.6
99757.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions864501001502001328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+23
Endgame+17
Fouls+15
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +23
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points19
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
0Processor points0
0Net points4
0Algae points4
0Total teleop23
Reef
0L4#2
0L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#6
BargeRed +6
8Cage & park2
8Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
2Foul points0
13Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8613
#14
36.54.4
43.839.4
Auto8.3
Teleop22.7
End5.6
red by 17.7
10002
#5Sur
18.80.4
16.716.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End2.2
Second
6434
#25
13.24.4
14.810.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End4.1
blue by 1.4
9987
#28
14.60.6
9.89.1
Auto3.7
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Third
5331
#18Sur
11.64.4
18.514.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End4.5
red by 4.6
9975
#12
7.10.6
7.16.5
Auto1.2
Teleop3.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed