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Red92
473931.5
99909.2
998413.7
Blue31
75837.5
650817.9
743352.3
27%Model gave it73%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions538701001509231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+59Teleop
+73Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
3Leave6
4Coral scored#0
18Coral points0
21Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +44
8Coral scored#3
29Coral points9
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
57Total teleop13
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#4
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points12
92Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.53.4
22.225.6
Auto7.8
Teleop19.0
End4.6
blue by 20.8
52.34.0
46.342.3
Auto10.9
Teleop39.0
End2.3
Second
9984
#17
13.75.7
8.914.6
Auto5.9
Teleop6.2
End1.7
blue by 4.2
6508
#30
17.94.0
21.317.3
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Third
9990
#10
9.25.7
6.912.6
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.7
red by 1.7
7583
#32
7.54.0
8.14.1
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed