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Red121
558455.5
556416.2
649723.5
Blue28
998013.4
472914.3
914718.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10948015020012128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+57Teleop
+55Endgame
+93Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +40
10Coral scored#3
35Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
53Total teleop13
Reef
7L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +93
38Foul points0
121Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.8
53.552.7
Auto16.7
Teleop32.3
End6.5
red by 37.1
9147
#31
18.41.1
18.117.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End5.4
Second
6497
#20
23.50.8
28.627.8
Auto6.5
Teleop12.4
End4.5
red by 9.2
4729
#24
14.31.1
18.417.3
Auto2.1
Teleop10.4
End1.7
Third
5564
#21
16.21.3
12.811.5
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End5.8
red by 2.8
9980
#23
13.41.8
7.75.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned11%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed