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Red65
643413.2
313255.6
1000218.8
Blue34
533111.6
998510.4
598815.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99410501506534

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+35Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +32
7Coral scored#2
26Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
40Total teleop8
Reef
2L4#1
3L3#1
1L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +4
16Cage & park20
16Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
65Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.61.3
51.049.6
Auto11.2
Teleop38.7
End5.6
red by 40.1
5988
#13
15.50.3
10.810.6
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End4.2
Second
18.81.3
18.016.7
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End2.2
red by 7.2
5331
#18
11.60.3
18.818.5
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End4.5
Third
6434
#25
13.21.3
16.114.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End4.1
red by 2.8
9985
#29
10.40.4
8.27.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned