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Red76
99817.3
75837.5
558455.5
Blue55
477428.6
998510.4
587613.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79630501001502002507655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +19
9Coral scored#6
33Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
47Total teleop28
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#1
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points12
76Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.6
52.753.3
Auto16.7
Teleop32.3
End6.5
red by 26.9
28.60.7
31.330.6
Auto4.8
Teleop17.3
End6.5
Second
7583
#32
7.50.6
4.14.7
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End0.7
blue by 5.9
5876
#15
13.30.7
14.814.0
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End3.7
Third
9981
#16
7.31.1
9.610.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End0.5
blue by 3.0
9985
#29
10.41.2
7.76.5
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed86%Barge oddsMissed