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Red55
556416.2
997311.2
651049.8
Blue27
598815.5
998317.1
99909.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93400501502005527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+20Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points15
19Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +16
5Coral scored#2
18Coral points6
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
22Total teleop6
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#5
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
55Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.81.3
53.752.4
Auto12.3
Teleop31.7
End5.9
red by 32.7
9983
#22
17.10.4
7.37.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.7
End1.0
Second
5564
#21
16.22.2
11.59.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End5.8
red by 0.7
5988
#13
15.50.2
10.610.3
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End4.2
Third
9973
#11
11.22.2
6.94.6
Auto2.9
Teleop8.2
End0.4
red by 2.0
9990
#10
9.20.4
12.612.2
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsMissed