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Red97
861336.5
647615.1
651049.8
Blue35
997311.2
914718.4
643413.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129270501001502009735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+52Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave3
6Coral scored#0
28Coral points0
28Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +27
11Coral scored#4
39Coral points16
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
53Total teleop26
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#1
4L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#6
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points0
97Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.80.7
52.451.7
Auto12.3
Teleop31.7
End5.9
red by 31.4
9147
#31
18.40.1
18.618.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End5.4
Second
8613
#14
36.50.7
39.438.7
Auto8.3
Teleop22.7
End5.6
red by 23.3
6434
#25
13.20.1
10.410.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End4.1
Third
6476
#19
15.10.7
15.715.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End1.8
red by 3.9
9973
#11
11.20.2
4.64.8
Auto2.9
Teleop8.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsMissed