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Red62
477428.6
649723.5
99757.1
Blue49
587613.3
650817.9
556416.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8041020601001201401606249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+7Teleop
+15Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
8Coral scored#6
30Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
40Total teleop30
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#9
BargeRed +8
16Cage & park8
16Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points2
62Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.7
30.629.9
Auto4.8
Teleop17.3
End6.5
red by 10.6
6508
#30
17.90.5
18.718.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Second
6497
#20
23.50.7
27.526.7
Auto6.5
Teleop12.4
End4.5
red by 7.4
5564
#21
16.20.8
12.111.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End5.8
Third
9975
#12
7.11.2
6.95.7
Auto1.2
Teleop3.7
End2.3
blue by 6.3
5876
#15
13.30.5
14.313.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsMissed