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Red71
533111.6
461367.8
472914.3
Blue65
998317.1
473931.5
75837.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114370501001502007165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+6
Endgame+4
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +3
10Coral scored#9
35Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
45Total teleop42
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
8Cage & park6
8Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
12Foul points2
71Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.82.7
69.166.4
Auto9.2
Teleop46.5
End12.0
red by 36.3
31.51.5
26.027.4
Auto7.8
Teleop19.0
End4.6
Second
4729
#24
14.32.7
18.615.9
Auto2.1
Teleop10.4
End1.7
blue by 2.7
9983
#22
17.12.4
9.812.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.7
End1.0
Third
5331
#18
11.62.7
12.29.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End4.5
red by 4.2
7583
#32
7.51.5
5.56.9
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed