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Red40
998413.7
716311.6
647615.1
Blue31
861336.5
99909.2
998510.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions448301001504031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+11Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points12
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +14
4Coral scored#2
14Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
24Total teleop10
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
40Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6476
#19
15.10.2
15.014.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End1.8
blue by 21.5
8613
#14
36.51.9
38.736.8
Auto8.3
Teleop22.7
End5.6
Second
9984
#17
13.70.4
15.915.5
Auto5.9
Teleop6.2
End1.7
red by 3.4
9985
#29
10.43.2
8.95.7
Auto5.0
Teleop5.4
End0.1
Third
7163
#27
11.60.2
12.512.3
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.3
red by 2.4
9990
#10
9.23.2
12.29.0
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsMissed