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Red117
598815.5
558455.5
651049.8
Blue137
313255.6
743352.3
99817.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124113050150200250300350117137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+22
Endgame+22
Fouls+20
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points21
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +22
14Coral scored#16
49Coral points57
2Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
12Processor points18
8Net points16
20Algae points34
69Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#8
5L3#4
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
2Foul points0
117Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.1
53.353.2
Auto16.7
Teleop32.3
End6.5
blue by 0.1
55.62.0
51.953.9
Auto11.2
Teleop38.7
End5.6
Second
49.80.1
51.751.6
Auto12.3
Teleop31.7
End5.9
blue by 2.5
52.32.0
44.046.1
Auto10.9
Teleop39.0
End2.3
Third
5988
#13
15.50.1
12.011.9
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End4.2
red by 8.1
9981
#16
7.33.4
7.410.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned