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Red50
998714.6
643413.2
998013.4
Blue67
598533.3
477428.6
997311.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3979020601001201401605067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+33
Endgame+23
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave3
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
12Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +19
5Coral scored#8
18Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
18Total teleop37
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#15
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
6Foul points0
50Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9987
#28
14.61.5
11.513.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.0
End2.1
blue by 18.8
33.30.2
28.929.2
Auto13.2
Teleop14.7
End5.3
Second
9980
#23
13.41.5
8.510.0
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End2.2
blue by 15.2
28.60.2
29.930.1
Auto4.8
Teleop17.3
End6.5
Third
6434
#25
13.20.9
10.511.4
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End4.1
red by 2.0
9973
#11
11.20.4
4.85.2
Auto2.9
Teleop8.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsMissed