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Red66
1000218.8
914718.4
533111.6
Blue45
650817.9
998816.0
716311.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45511020304060706645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+7
Endgame+1
+21Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
5Coral scored#6
17Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#2
6Processor points0
0Net points8
6Algae points8
23Total teleop30
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#10
BargeRed +6
10Cage & park4
10Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
24Foul points2
66Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.80.6
15.314.6
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End2.2
red by 0.9
6508
#30
17.90.5
18.217.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End2.3
Second
9147
#31
18.40.6
18.718.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End5.4
red by 2.4
9988
#26
16.00.8
10.710.0
Auto3.7
Teleop9.8
End2.6
Third
5331
#18
11.60.6
9.48.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End4.5
red by 0.1
7163
#27
11.60.5
12.311.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed