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Red123
99909.2
99817.3
461367.8
Blue39
556416.2
99757.1
472914.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1162705010015020012339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+30Teleop
+30Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +24
6Coral scored#2
22Coral points6
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
30Total teleop6
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +84
62Foul points8
123Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.81.9
66.464.5
Auto9.2
Teleop46.5
End12.0
red by 51.6
5564
#21
16.20.5
11.310.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End5.8
Second
9990
#10
9.23.1
9.05.9
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.7
blue by 5.1
4729
#24
14.30.3
15.915.6
Auto2.1
Teleop10.4
End1.7
Third
9981
#16
7.33.1
10.87.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End0.5
red by 0.3
9975
#12
7.10.5
5.75.2
Auto1.2
Teleop3.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned9%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsEarned