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Red42
998013.4
649723.5
75837.5
Blue115
598815.5
861336.5
743352.3
10%Model gave it90%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46112010015020042115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+63
Endgame+73
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave0
2Coral scored#6
12Coral points32
12Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +43
4Coral scored#10
14Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
24Total teleop67
Reef
3L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points0
42Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6497
#20
23.50.3
26.726.5
Auto6.5
Teleop12.4
End4.5
blue by 28.7
52.31.2
46.147.2
Auto10.9
Teleop39.0
End2.3
Second
9980
#23
13.40.5
10.09.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End2.2
blue by 23.2
8613
#14
36.51.2
36.837.9
Auto8.3
Teleop22.7
End5.6
Third
7583
#32
7.50.3
6.96.6
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End0.7
blue by 8.0
5988
#13
15.51.2
11.913.1
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned